Ismael at IT Redux claims an 83% success rate on his 2006 predictions and I like his picks for 2007. Besides the love for Mule, his notion that "the first Open Source database vendor (EnterpriseDB, Ingres, or MySQL) to release a plug-compatible replacement for the Oracle database that can support the SAP R/3 applications for over 10,000 concurrent users will get the best home run in database history since Sybase" is dead on. The legacy burden of SAP is monstrous. The OSS vendors that figure out how to make things work with SAP (in addition to trying to displace it) have a huge market opportunity.
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